A bitcoin worth indicator is about to show bullish for the primary time because the early phases of the 2016-17 bull market.
The 50-candle shifting common (MA) on bitcoin’s three-day chart is in a strong upward trajectory and appears set to cross above the 200-candle MA within the subsequent few days.
That will be the primary golden crossover on the three-day chart since early February 2016. CoinDesk reported on a golden cross for bitcoin’s every day chart again in April.
Seasoned merchants typically check with that long-term bull market sign as a lagging indicator. In spite of everything, the MA research are based mostly on historic information and have a tendency to lag costs, which additionally means they’ve restricted predictive talents at greatest.
Whereas that’s true for many crossovers, the one that’s about to occur on the three-day chart has proved its mettle as a dependable bull market indicator previously.
Three-day chart (2016-2017)
The 50- and 200-candle MAs produced a bullish crossover in three days to Feb. Three, 2016, following which bitcoin’s worth charted its approach to a file excessive of $20,000 by December 2017.
A more in-depth have a look at the chart reveals that the low of $360 printed a number of weeks earlier than the golden crossover was by no means put to check once more. The truth is, the 50-candle MA constantly reversed pullbacks (marked by arrows) all through the rise from $360 (February 2016 low) to the file excessive of $20,000.
What’s extra, the bullish crossover occurred 5 months forward of the mining reward halving of July 2016 and 13 months after bitcoin bottomed out close to $150.
This time the MAs are about to provide a bull cross at the very least three quarters forward of the reward halving, due someday in Might 2020, and seven months after the bear market ran out of steam close to $Three,100.
Three-day chart (2019)
As of writing, the upward sloping (bullish) 50-candle MA is situated at $6,566 and the 200-candle MA is flatlined at $7,438.
The golden crossover will possible occur earlier than the month finish, except costs drop all the best way again to $5,000, dragging the 50-candle MA decrease. That, nonetheless, is unlikely to occur anytime quickly.
If historical past is a information, then the affirmation of the golden crossover may very well be adopted by a rally to file highs above $20,000. Additional, all through the rally, the 50-candle MA will possible function sturdy assist.
Disclosure: The writer holds no cryptocurrency belongings on the time of writing.
Bull’s eye picture through Shutterstock; charts by Buying and selling View